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Editorial

Referring to the article published on pp. 910

917 of this issue

Balancing Risks in Prostate-specific Antigen Recurrence:

The Fox Versus the Hedgehog

Bridget

[1_TD$DIFF]

F. Koontz

*

Department of Radiation Oncology, Duke Cancer Institute, Durham, NC, USA

There are clear dichotomies in prostate cancer

men aged in

their 90s who have been living with prostate cancer for 20

[2_TD$DIFF]

years, and 55-

[3_TD$DIFF]

year-old men who die within 3

[2_TD$DIFF]

years of

diagnosis. But much more heavily populated than these

extremes is the space between

where it is difficult to

predict who will do well with minimal intervention and

who will progress, allowing an opportunity for early

intervention to change disease trajectory. Since we are

unlikely to accurately predict every patient's outcome, how

do we balance the risks and benefits of overtreatment with

those of undertreatment?

One outstanding controversy in the management of

prostate cancer regards the role of adjuvant and salvage

radiotherapy after prostatectomy. Three randomized trials

show improvement in biochemical control with

early

postoperative radiotherapy, one also showing an overall

survival advantage

[1 3]

. However, these studies have their

criticisms and ultimately, clinical practice has favored

ultrasensitive prostate-specific antigens (PSAs) and delivery

of early salvage for many patients. Prospective clinical trials

are pending, but large retrospective studies suggest that

generally postoperative radiotherapy is more effective at

lower PSAs

[4]

, although low-risk cancers may be suitable

for a surveillance approach.

In this month's issue of

European Urology

, Dr. Gandaglia

and colleagues

[5]

describe a new nomogram meant to

provide insight into the likelihood of prostate cancer death

in men with a persistently detectable PSA after radical

prostatectomy. This study provides additional evidence that

postoperative radiotherapy can reduce the likelihood of

prostate cancer death in men with highly aggressive

prostate cancer. The authors also note that some patients

had a low risk of prostate cancer death and could be

managed expectantly without immediate salvage treat-

ment.

While at first this report seems concerning in a

relegation of radiotherapy to a minority of men, with some

consideration I view it overall to be useful data when taken

in context. The specific question posed by the authors is

whether immediate radiotherapy for detectable PSAs is

necessary in all men. It is probable that many of the patients

in the

no radiotherapy

group eventually did receive

salvage treatment. In that case, this describes outcomes of

early versus late salvage. The data supports that in menwith

low-risk disease, early treatment may not be necessary and

PSA can be safely monitored, initiating treatment when PSA

begins to rise

active surveillance in the postoperative

setting. One possibility is that delayed radiotherapy is still

effective at curing the cancer and remission is achieved, but

the delaymaximizes urinary and sexual recovery. Another is

that these cancers are instead being managed long term by

salvage androgen deprivation. However, this latter expla-

nation carries another concern, which is that an endpoint of

mortality may be missing significant negative quality of life

factors if patients achieve freedom from prostate cancer

death by many years of hypogonadism.

Philosophers apply the quote

the fox knows many things,

but the hedgehog knows one big thing

by Greek poet

Archilochus to illustrate the different ways humans think; for

some all experiences can be seen through the lens of one

grand vision, and others for whom life cannot be simplified to

fit into one truth. Both have advantages and disadvantages.

But in prediction, the fox has an advantage as it is more

flexible and adaptable to newdata and alternate explanations

[6] .

As we improve our science to provide more individual-

izedmedicine, wemust be careful not to oversimplify and put

E U R O P E A N U R O L O GY 7 2 ( 2 0 17 ) 9 18 9 19

available at

www.scienced irect.com

journal homepage:

www.europeanurology.com

DOI of original article:

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eururo.2017.06.001 .

* Department of Radiation Oncology, Duke Cancer Institute, Durham, NC 27710, USA. Tel. +1 919 668 5213; Fax: +1 919 668 7345.

E-mail address:

bridget.koontz@duke.edu . http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eururo.2017.07.021

0302-2838/© 2017 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.