

1.
Introduction
Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening leads to increased
prostate cancer (PC) detection and a shift from advanced to
earlier disease stages
[1,2]. However, PSA testing lacks
specificity, resulting in unnecessary biopsies
[3] .Simulta-
neously, random transrectal ultrasound (TRUS)-guided
biopsy suffers from poor sampling, leading to under-
detection of PC in approximately 50% of cases compared
with radical prostatectomy (RP) specimen and transper-
ineal mapping biopsy
[4,5] .Currently, the most promising
candidate to overcome these limitations is multiparametric
magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) using a standardized
reporting system (Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data
System [PI-RADS])
[6,7]. Compared with RP specimens,
mpMRI detects 85–95% of index lesions and significant PC
(sPC)
[8,9]. Fusion-targeted biopsies (FTBs) of suspicious
mpMRI lesions improve the detection of sPC by 30%
[10] .To identify men with sPC and concurrently to avoid
unnecessary biopsies, multivariable risk-based approaches
have been introduced
[2,3,11]. Using risk calculators (RCs)
built on European Randomized Study of Screening for PC
(ERSPC) data, Roobol et al
[2_TD$DIFF]
demonstrated that 33% of standard
biopsies can be avoided in men who are at risk of PC below
[8_TD$DIFF]
12.5%
[3] .However, recent RCs do not include mpMRI data.
FTB of mpMRI-suspicious lesions alone is a promising
strategy to reduce overdetection of insignificant disease,
but MRI-invisible sPC is overlooked by such an approach
[10,12–14]. Here, we added prebiopsy mpMRI to clinical
parameters and developed risk models (RMs) to determine
individual sPC risk using a validated biopsy approach
combining FTBs and transperineal systematic saturation
biopsies (SBs) as reference
[8] .2.
Patients and methods
2.1.
Study population
Consecutive patients were enrolled and registered into a prospective
database assessing MRI-targeted/TRUS fusion biopsy between 2012 and
2015. Institutional review board approval was obtained (S011/2011),
and all participants provided written informed consent. Subgroups were
reported previously
[8,15].
The study population consisted of 1159 retrospectively analyzed
patients. Inclusion criteria were mpMRI with PI-RADS scoring and fusion
biopsy at our department. In total, the sample consists of 670 (58%)
biopsy-naı¨ve men and 489 (42%) men with previous TRUS biopsy. A total
of 129 men under active surveillance and 15 men who had missing data
were excluded (Supplementary Fig. 1). For 660 biopsy-naı¨ve men and
355 men with previous TRUS biopsy, full data on PI-RADS, biopsy-
outcome, PSA, age, digital-rectal examination (DRE), prostate volume (PV),
prior biopsy, lesions on TRUS, and ERSPC-RCs were available. Those
samples served for RMdevelopment, internal validation, and comparisons
with ERSPC-RCs, PI-RADSv1.0, and combined ERSPC-RCs and PI-RADSv1.0.
2.2.
Imaging
All mpMRI examinations were performed using a 3 T system (Magnetom;
Siemens, Erlangen, Germany) using a multichannel-body-surface coil
(Supplementary Table 1). All image analyses were prospectively performed
according to PI-RADSv1.0 by or under the supervision of expert
uroradiologists (H.P.S., D.B., and M.C.R., with 7–12 yr experience in prostate
MRI)
[6] .Overall, PI-RADS scores for each lesionwere determined on a five-
point Likert scale and entailed assignment of a separate score for each of the
T2-weighted, DW, and dynamic contrast-enhanced imaging sequences
[6]. PV was calculated on T2-weighted images
( www.itksnap.org).
2.3.
Biopsy protocol
All men underwent transperineal FTB with rigid software registration
using BiopSee (MedCom, Darmstadt, Germany) of MRI-suspicious
lesions first (2–5 cores, median 2 per lesion) and then SB adjusted to
PV (median 24 cores), as previously described
[8,15]. Transperineal grid-
directed biopsy performed under general anesthesia is our standard
technique, the sPC-detection accuracy of which has been validated using
RP specimens
[8].
2.4.
Histopathology
Histopathological analyses were performed under the supervision of a
uropathologist (W.R.) specialized in prostate assessment according to
International Society of Urological Pathology standards. sPC was defined
as Gleason score (GS) 3 + 4.
Results and limitations:
PSA, prostate volume, digital-rectal examination, and PI-RADS
were significant sPC predictors and included in the RMs together with age. The ROC area
under the curve of the RM for biopsy-naı¨ve men was comparable with ERSPC-RC3 plus PI-
RADSv1.0 (0.83 vs 0.84) but larger compared with ERSPC-RC3 (0.81), refitted RC3 (0.80), and
PI-RADS (0.76). For postbiopsy men, the novel RM’s discrimination (0.81) was higher,
compared with PI-RADS (0.78), ERSPC-RC4 (0.66), refitted RC4 (0.76), and ERSPC-RC4 plus
PI-RADSv1.0 (0.78). Both RM benefits exceeded those of ERSPC-RCs and PI-RADS in the
decision regarding which patient to receive biopsy and enabled the highest reduction rate of
unnecessary biopsies. Limitations include a monocentric design and a lack of PI-RADSv2.0.
Conclusions:
The novel RMs, incorporating clinical parameters and PI-RADS, performed
significantly better compared with RMs without PI-RADS and provided measurable benefit
in making the decision to biopsy men at a suspicion of PC. For biopsy-naı¨ve patients, both
our RM and ERSPC-RC3 plus PI-RADSv1.0 exceeded the prediction performance compared
with clinical parameters alone.
Patient summary:
Combined risk models including clinical and imaging parameters pre-
dict clinically relevant prostate cancer significantly better than clinical risk calculators and
multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging alone. The risk models demonstrate a benefit
in making a decision about which patient needs a biopsy and concurrently help avoid
unnecessary biopsies.
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2017 European Association of Urology. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
E U R O P E A N U R O L O G Y 7 2 ( 2 0 1 7 ) 8 8 8 – 8 9 6
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